Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.466676 0.510228 0.557771 0.613839 0.678561 0.751426 0.840379
2024-12-22 0.372907 0.431185 0.500437 0.590210 0.705684 0.852435 1.058636
2024-12-29 0.326310 0.394270 0.480745 0.602242 0.774587 1.020942 1.422677
2025-01-05 0.283255 0.352881 0.445885 0.584588 0.796926 1.131544 1.755659
2025-01-12 0.247140 0.314597 0.407889 0.553279 0.789256 1.191563 2.034706
2025-01-19 0.219816 0.284577 0.376638 0.525319 0.778728 1.241429 2.322259
2025-01-26 0.207455 0.273933 0.371562 0.536201 0.834491 1.430240 3.051725
2025-02-02 0.201834 0.272164 0.379134 0.568353 0.936070 1.754878 4.491696
2025-02-09 0.191067 0.261417 0.371074 0.571807 0.982737 1.979226 5.965935
2025-02-16 0.178474 0.246671 0.354819 0.557692 0.989137 2.105815 7.301337
2025-02-23 0.169845 0.237387 0.346568 0.557126 1.025103 2.335229 9.787299
2025-03-02 0.160420 0.226081 0.333754 0.545795 1.033430 2.487632 12.393337
2025-03-09 0.152959 0.217848 0.326216 0.545491 1.073066 2.789795 18.319505
2025-03-16 0.144575 0.207641 0.314520 0.535606 1.087920 3.027122 26.485408
2025-03-23 0.140380 0.204113 0.314484 0.550478 1.175234 3.658257 58.720161
2025-03-30 0.132850 0.194403 0.302209 0.536800 1.177728 3.912916 100.747937
2025-04-06 0.124347 0.182522 0.284975 0.509835 1.133847 3.895387 135.020745
2025-04-13 0.116827 0.171954 0.269512 0.485276 1.092513 3.870904 184.899857
2025-04-20 0.113981 0.169331 0.268927 0.495081 1.163694 4.620030 1702.987234
2025-04-27 0.113351 0.170531 0.275779 0.523699 1.310472 6.236830 NaN
2025-05-04 0.110063 0.166760 0.272470 0.526787 1.368545 7.337351 NaN
2025-05-11 0.105488 0.160414 0.263504 0.514269 1.363077 7.817869 NaN
2025-05-18 0.102369 0.156562 0.259346 0.513770 1.406562 9.050525 NaN